| Status | Target/Acquirer | Position | Thesis summary | Spread | Downside | Added |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New |
Adobe / Figma
US / US
|
↑ Long | DOJ likely to clear after EU approval; upside from regulatory e... | 12.5% | −3.8% | Oct 21 |
| Catalyst near |
Spirit Airlines / JetBlue
SAVE US / JBLU US
|
↓ Short | Deal unlikely to close before Q2'26 due to DOJ litigation | 9.2% | −7.1% | Oct 20 |
| Catalyst near |
Pfizer / Seagen
PFE US / SGEN US
|
↑ Short | CFIUS clearance expected in Nov; integration synergies intact | 6.7% | −2.9% | Oct 19 |
| New |
Exxent / Blackstone
EXNT US / BX US
|
↑ Long | Spread remains wide post definitive approval; limited downside | 11.4% | −6.3% | Oct 19 |
| Catalyst near |
Broadcom / VMware
AVGO US / VMW US
|
↑ Long | Final approval in China pending; high-probability close by yea... | 5.1% | −1.9% | Oct 19 |
| Catalyst near |
Horizon Therapeutics / Amgen
HZNP US / AMGN US
|
↓ Long | FTC settlement reduces upside; possible valuation revision | 8.4% | −6.7% | Oct 18 |
| New |
Splunk / Cisco
SPLK US / CSCO US
|
↑ Long | Regulatory review smooth; expected close in H1'26 | 14.9% | −5.2% | Oct 18 |
| New |
Tapestry / Capri Holdings
TPR US / CPRI US
|
↑ Long | EU filing accepted; U.S. review ongoing; decision early 2026 | 10.3% | −3.4% | Oct 17 |
| New |
Illumina / GRAIL
ILMN US / Private
|
↓ Long | EC order may force divestiture; valuation headwinds remain | 7.8% | −8.1% | Oct 16 |
| Catalyst near |
Kroger / Albertsons
KR US / ACI US
|
↓ Short | FTC trial in progress; significant regulatory pushback expected | 6.6% | −6.0% | Oct 15 |
Recent Updates to Top Ideas
| Updates | Thesis summary | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Added |
STAAR Surgical (STAA) / Alcon (ALC-SW)
added to Americas Top Ideas. Thesis: Opposing shareholders, vote likely to fail
|
Oct 21 |
| Removed |
Adobe (ADBE) / Figma
removed from Americas Top Ideas. Reason: Deal terminated due to regulatory concerns
|
Sep 05 |
| Comment |
Cross Country (CCRN) / Aya Healthcare
deal view remains unchanged despite recent market volatility. Antitrust review remains the key focus
|
Jul 12 |